Dr. Paul J. Durack
Research Scientist
Tel: +1 (925) 422-5208
Fax: +1 (925) 422-7675
Email: pauldurack at llnl dot gov
Follow me on
Academia.edu
Publications:
Durack, Paul J., Peter J. Gleckler, Sarah G. Purkey, Gregory C. Johnson, John M. Lyman, and Tim P. Boyer (2018b)
Ocean Warming: From the Surface to the Deep in Observations and Models.
Oceanography,
32 (2), pp 41-51.
DOI:
10.5670/oceanog.2018.227
Durack, Paul J., Alex Sen Gupta, and Lars H. Smedsrud (2018a) From the Guest Editors: Introduction to the Special
Issue on Ocean Warming.
Oceanography,
32 (2), pp 28-31. DOI:
10.5670/oceanog.2018.226
Durack, Paul J., Karl E. Taylor, Veronika Eyring, Sasha K. Ames, Tony Hoang, Denis Nadeau, Charles Doutriaux,
Martina Stockhause, and Peter J. Gleckler (2018) Toward standardized data sets for climate model experimentation.
Eos,
Transactions, American Geophysical Union,
99. DOI:
10.1029/2018EO101751
Durack, Paul J., Tong Lee, Nadya T. Vinogradova, and Detlef Stammer (2016) Keeping the lights on for global ocean
salinity observation (Commentary).
Nature Climate Change,
6 (3), pp 228-231. DOI:
10.1038/nclimate2946
Durack, Paul J. (2015) Ocean Salinity and the Global Water Cycle.
Oceanography,
28 (1), pp 20-31.
DOI:
10.5670/oceanog.2015.03
Durack, Paul J., Peter J. Gleckler, Felix W. Landerer, and Karl E. Taylor (2014) Quantifying Underestimates of
Long-term Upper-Ocean Warming.
Nature Climate Change,
4 (11), pp 999-1005. DOI:
10.1038/nclimate2389
Durack, Paul J., Susan E. Wijffels, and Peter J. Gleckler (2014) Long-term Sea-level Change Revisited: The Role of
Salinity.
Environmental Research Letters,
9 (11), 114017. DOI:
10.1088/1748-9326/9/11/114017
Durack, Paul J., Susan E. Wijffels, and Richard J. Matear (2012) Ocean Salinities Reveal Strong Global Water Cycle
Intensification During 1950 to 2000,
Science,
336 (6080), pp 455-458. DOI:
10.1126/science.1212222
Durack, Paul J., Susan E. Wijffels, and Nathaniel L. Bindoff (2011) [Global Oceans] Ocean Salinity: A Water Cycle
Diagnostic? [In "State of the Climate 2010"],
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society,
92 (6), pp
S91-S93. DOI:
10.1175/1520-0477-92.6.S1
Durack, Paul J., Susan E. Wijffels (2010) Fifty-Year Trends in Global Ocean Salinities and Their Relationship to
Broad-Scale Warming,
Journal of Climate,
23 (16), pp 4342-4362. DOI:
10.1175/2010JCLI3377.1
Co-authored publications:
Lambert, Francis H., Richard Allan, Ali Behrangi, Michael Byrne, Paulo Ceppi, Robin Chadwick, Paul J. Durack,
Giorgia Fosser, Hayley Fowler, Peter Greve, Tong Lee, Harry Mutton, Paul O'Gorman, Joe Osborne, Angeline Pendergrass,
John Reager, Philip Stier, Abigail Swann, Alexander Todd, Sergio M. Vicente-Serrano, and Graeme Stephens (2024) Future
changes in the regional water cycle and their impact on societies, WIRES Climate Change, in review, 23 pp.
Juckes, Martin, Karl E. Taylor, Fabrizio Antonio, David Brayshaw, Carlos Buontempo, Jian Cao,
Paul J. Durack,
Michio Kawamiya, Hyungjun Kim, Tomas Lovato, Chloe Mackallah, Matthew Mizielinski, Alessandra Nuzzo, Martina Stockhause,
Daniele Visioni, Jeremy Walton, Briony Turner, Eleanor O'Rourke, and Elisabeth Dingley (2024) Baseline Climate Variables
for Earth System Modelling,
Geoscientific Model Development,
in review, 37 pp. DOI:
10.5194/egusphere-2024-2363
Arcodia, Marybeth, Elizabeth A. Barnes,
Paul J. Durack, Patrick W. Keys, and Juliette Rocha (2024) Sea Surface
Salinity Provides Subseasonal Predictability for Forecasts of Opportunity of U.S. Summertime Precipitation,
Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres,
in review, 30 pp. DOI:
10.22541/essoar.172590237.75793923/v1
Lee, Jiwoo, Peter J. Gleckler, Min-Seop Ahn, Ana Ordonez, Paul A. Ullrich, Kenneth R. Sperber, Karl E. Taylor,
Yann Y. Planton, Eric Guilyardi,
Paul J. Durack, Celine Bonfils, Mark D. Zelinka, Li-Wei Chao, Bo Dong,
Charles Doutriaux, Chengzhu Zhang, Tom Vo, Jason Boutte, Michael F. Wehner, Angeline G. Pendergrass, Daehyun Kim,
Zeyu Xue, Andrew T. Wittenberg, and John Krasting (2024) Objective Evaluation of Earth System Models: PCMDI Metrics
Package (PMP) version 3,
Geoscientific Model Development,
17 (9), pp 3919-3948. DOI:
10.5194/gmd-17-3919-2024
Röthig, Till, Stacey M. Trevathan-Tackett, Christian R. Voolstra, Cliff Ross, Samuel Chaffron,
Paul J.
Durack, Laura M. Warmuth, and Michael Sweet (2023) Human-induced salinity changes impact marine organisms
and ecosystems,
Global Change Biology,
29 (17), pp 4731-4749. DOI:
10.1111/gcb.16859
Schmidt, Gavin A., Timothy Andrews, Susanne E. Bauer,
Paul J. Durack, Norman G. Loeb, V. Ramaswamy,
Nathan P. Arnold, Michael G. Bosilovich, Jason Cole, Larry W. Horowitz, Gregory C. Johnson, John M. Lyman,
Brian Medeiros, Takuro Michibata, Dirk Olonscheck, David Paynter, Shiv Priyam Raghuraman, Michael Schulz,
Daisuke Takasuka, Vijay Tallapragada, Patrick C. Taylor, and Tilo Ziehn (2023) CERESMIP: a climate modeling protocol
to investigate trends in Earth's Energy Imbalance,
Frontiers in Climate: Predictions and Projections,
5, 10 pp. DOI:
10.3389/fclim.2023.1202161
Tesdal, Jan-Erik, Graeme A. MacGilchrist, Rebecca L. Beadling, Stephen M. Griffies, John P. Krasting, and
Paul J.
Durack (2023) Revisiting Interior Water Mass Responses to Surface Forcing Changes and the Subsequent Effects on
Overturning in the Southern Ocean,
Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans,
128 (3), e2022JC019105,
36 pp. DOI:
10.1029/2022JC019105
McDougall, Trevor J., Paul M. Barker, Ryan M. Holmes, Rich Pawlowicz, Stephen M. Griffies, and
Paul J. Durack
(2021) The interpretation of temperature and salinity variables in numerical ocean model output, and the calculation of
heat fluxes and heat content,
Geoscientific Model Development,
14 (10), pp 6445-6466. DOI:
10.5194/gmd-14-6445-2021
Rieger, Landon A., Jason N. Cole, John C. Fyfe, Stephen Po-Chedley, Philip J. Cameron-Smith,
Paul J. Durack,
Nathan P. Gillett, and Qi Tang (2020) Quantifying CanESM5 and EAMv1 sensitivities to Mt. Pinatubo volcanic forcing for
the CMIP6 historical experiment,
Geoscientific Model Development,
13 (10), pp 4831-4843. DOI:
10.5194/gmd-13-4831-2020
Silvy, Yona, Eric Guilyardi, Jean-Baptiste Sallee, and
Paul J. Durack (2020) Human-induced changes to the global
ocean water masses and their time of emergence,
Nature Climate Change,
10 (11), pp 1030-1036. DOI:
10.1038/s41558-020-0878-x
Waliser, Duane, Peter J. Gleckler, Robert Ferraro, Karl E. Taylor, Sasha Ames, James Biard, Michael G. Bosilovich, Otis
Brown, Helen Chepfer, Luca Cinquini,
Paul J. Durack, Veronika Eyring, Pierre-Phillipe Mathieu, Tsengdar Lee,
Simon Pinnock, Gerald L. Potter, Michel Rixen, Roger Saunders, Jorg Shulz, Jean-Noel Thepaut, and Matthias Tuma (2020)
Observations for Model Intercomparison Project (Obs4MIPs): Status for CMIP6,
Geoscientific Model Development,
13 (7), pp 2945-2958. DOI:
10.5194/gmd-13-2945-2020
Stephens, Graeme L., Julia M. Slingo, Eric Rignot, John T. Reager, Maria Z. Hakuba,
Paul J. Durack, John Worden,
and Remy Rocca (2020) Earth's Water Reservoirs in a changing climate,
Proceedings of the Royal Society A,
476 (2236), 34 pp. DOI:
10.1098/rspa.2019.0458
Juckes, Martin, Karl E. Taylor,
Paul J. Durack, Bryan Lawrence, Matthew Mizielinski, Alison Pamment, Jean-Yves
Peterschmitt, Michel Rixen, and Stephane Senesis (2020) The CMIP6 Data Request (DREQ, version 01.00.31),
Geoscientific
Model Development,
13 (1), pp 201-224. DOI:
10.5194/gmd-13-201-2020
Palmer, Matthew D.,
Paul J. Durack, Maria Paz Chidichimo, John A. Church, Sophie Cravatte, Katy Hill, Johnny
Johannessen, Johannes Karstensen, Tong Lee, David Legler, Matt Mazloff, Eitarou Oka, Sarah Purkey, Ben Rabe,
Jean-Baptiste Sallee, Bernadette M. Sloyan, Sabrina Speich, Karina von Schuckmann, Josh Willis, and Susan E. Wijffels
(2019) Adequacy of the Ocean Observation System for Quantifying Regional Heat and Freshwater Storage and Change,
Frontiers in Marine Science,
6 (Article 416), 26 pp. DOI:
10.3389/fmars.2019.00416
Marvel, Kate, Benjamin I. Cook, Celine J. W. Bonfils,
Paul J. Durack, Jason E. Smerdon, and A. Park Williams
(2019) Twentieth-century hydroclimate changes consistent with human influence,
Nature,
569 (7754), pp
59-65. DOI:
10.1038/s41586-019-1149-8
van Rensch, Peter, Julie Arblaster, Ailie J. Gallant, Wenju Cai, Neville Nicholls, and
Paul J. Durack (2019)
Mechanisms causing east Australian spring rainfall differences between three strong El Nino events,
Climate
Dynamics,
53 (5-6), pp 3641-3659. DOI:
10.1007/s00382-019-04732-1
Balaji, Venkatramani, Karl E. Taylor, Martin Juckes, Bryan N. Lawrence,
Paul J. Durack, Michael Lautenschlager,
Chris Blanton, Luca Cinquini, Sebastien Denvil, Mark Elkington, Francesca Guglielmo, Eric Guilyardi, David Hassell,
Slava Kharin, Stefan Kindermann, Sergey Nikonov, Aparna Radhakrishnan, Martina Stockhause, Tobias Weigel, and Dean N.
Williams (2018) Requirements for a global data infrastructure in support of CMIP6,
Geoscientific Model
Development,
11 (9), pp 3659-3680. DOI:
10.5194/gmd-11-3659-2018
Purich, Ariaan, Matthew H. England, Wenju Cai, Arnold Sullivan, and
Paul J. Durack (2018) Impacts of Broad-Scale
Surface Freshening of the Southern Ocean in a Coupled Climate Model,
Journal of Climate,
31 (7), pp
2613-2632. DOI:
10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0092.1
Santer, Benjamin D., Stephen Po-Chedley, Mark D. Zelinka, Ivana Cvijanovic, Celine Bonfils,
Paul J. Durack, Qiang
Fu, Jeffrey Kiehl, Carl Mears, Jeffrey Painter, Giuliana Pallotta, Susan Solomon, Frank J. Wentz, and Cheng-Zhi Zou
(2018) Human influence on the seasonal cycle of tropospheric temperature,
Science,
361 (6399), 11 pp. DOI:
10.1126/science.aas8806
Tsujino, Hiroyuki, Shogo Urakawa, Hideyuki Nakano, R. Justin Small, Who M. Kim, Stephen G. Yeager, Gokhan Danabasoglu,
Tatsuo Suzuki, Jonathan L. Bamber, Mats Bentsen, Claus W. Boning, Alexandra Bozec, Eric P. Chassignet, Enrique
Churchitser, Fabio Boeira Dias,
Paul J. Durack, Stephen M. Griffies, Yayoi Harada, Mehmet Ilicak, Simon A. Josey,
Chiaki Kobayashi, Shinya Kobayashi, Yoshiki Komuro, William G. Large, Julien Le Sommer, Simon J. Marsland, Simona
Masina, Markus Scheinert, Hiroyuki Tomita, Maria Valdivieso, and Dai Yamazaki (2018) JRA-55 based surface dataset for
driving ocean-sea-ice models (JRA55-do),
Ocean Modelling,
130, pp 79-139. DOI:
10.1016/j.ocemod.2018.07.002
Bonfils, Celine, Gemma Anderson, Benjamin D. Santer, Thomas J. Phillips, Karl E. Taylor, Matthias Cuntz, Mark D.
Zelinka, Kate Marvel, Benjamin I. Cook, Ivana Cvijanovic, and
Paul J. Durack (2017) Competing Influences of
Anthropogenic Warming, ENSO, and Plant Physiology on Future Terrestrial Aridity,
Journal of Climate,
30
(17), pp 6883-6904. DOI:
10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0005.1
Ivanova, Detelina, Peter J. Gleckler, Karl E. Taylor,
Paul J. Durack, and Kate Marvel (2016) A Holistic Approach
for Gauging Model Biases in Sea Ice Distribution: Moving beyond the Total Sea Ice Extent to Rectify Compensating Errors,
Journal of Climate,
29 (24), pp 8965-8987. DOI:
10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0026.1
Gleckler, Peter J., Charles Doutriaux,
Paul J. Durack, Karl E. Taylor, Yuying Zhang, Dean Williams, Erik Mason,
and Jerome Servonnat (2016) A more powerful reality test for climate models,
Eos, Transactions, American Geophysical
Union,
97 (12). DOI:
10.1029/2016EO051663
Vinogradova, Nadya T., Tong Lee,
Paul J. Durack, Jacqueline Boutin, and Detlef Stammer (2016) Ocean Salinity and
the Water Cycle: Recent Progress and Future Challenges,
GEWEX News,
26 (1), pp 3-5.
Accessible online
Gleckler, Peter J.,
Paul J. Durack, Ronald J. Stouffer, Gregory C. Johnson, and Chris E. Forest (2016)
Industrial-era global ocean heat uptake doubles in recent decades,
Nature Climate Change,
6 (4), pp
394-398. DOI:
10.1038/nclimate2915
Griffies, Stephen M., Gokhan Danabasoglu, Alistair J. Adcroft, V. Balaji, Claus Böning, Enrique Curchitser, Helge
Drange,
Paul J. Durack, Peter J. Gleckler, Jonathan M. Gregory, David Holland, Yoshiki Komuro, John P. Krasting,
William Large, Simon J. Marsland, Simona Masina, Trevor J. McDougall, James C. Orr, Anna Pirani, Ronald J. Stouffer,
Karl E. Taylor, Michael Winton, Stephen Yeager, and co-authors (2016) Experimental and diagnostic protocol for the
physical component of the CMIP6 Ocean Model Intercomparison Project (OMIP),
Geoscientific Model Development,
9 (9), pp 3231-3296. DOI:
10.5194/gmd-9-3231-2016
Lago, Veronique, Susan E. Wijffels,
Paul J. Durack, John A. Church, Nathaniel, L. Bindoff, and Simon J. Marsland
(2016) Simulating the role of surface forcing on observed multidecadal upper ocean salinity changes,
Journal of
Climate,
25 (19), pp 5575-5588. DOI:
10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0519.1
Hegerl, Gabriele C., Emily Black, Richard P. Allan, William J. Ingram, Debbie Polson, Kevin E. Trenberth, Robin S.
Chadwick, Phillip A. Arkin, Beena Balan Sarojini, Andreas Becker, Aiguo Dai,
Paul J. Durack, and co-authors (2015)
Challenges in quantifying changes in the global water cycle,
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society,
96 (7), pp 1097-1115. DOI:
10.1175/BAMS-D-13-00212.1
Griffies, Stephen M., Jianjun Yin,
Paul J. Durack, and co-authors (2014) An Assessment of global and regional sea
level for years 1993-2007 in a suite of interannual CORE-II simulations,
Ocean Modelling,
78, pp 35-89.
DOI:
10.1016/j.ocemod.2014.03.004
Griffies, S. M., J. Yin, S. C. Bates, E. Behrens, M. Bentsen, D. Bi, A. Biastoch, C. Böning, A. Bozec, C. Cassou, E.
Chassignet, G. Danabasoglu, S. Danilov, C. Domingues, H. Drange,
P. J. Durack, and co-authors (2013) An assessment
of global and regional sea level in a suite of interannual CORE-II simulations: a synopsis.
Exchanges: newsletter of
the Climate Variability and Predictability Programme (CLIVAR),
No. 62, Vol. 18 (2), pp 11-15.
Accessible online
Pierce, David W., Peter J. Gleckler, Tim P. Barnett, Benjamin D. Santer, and
Paul J. Durack (2012) The fingerprint of
human-induced changes in the ocean's salinity and temperature fields,
Geophysical Research Letters,
39
(21), GL053389. DOI:
10.1029/2012GL053389
Sen Gupta, Alex, Les C. Muir, Jaclyn N. Brown, Steven J. Phipps,
Paul J. Durack, Didier Monselesan, and Susan E.
Wijffels (2012) Climate Drift in the CMIP3 Models,
Journal of Climate,
25 (13), pp 4621-4640. DOI:
10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00312.1
Austin, Jenet, Lu Zhang, Roger N. Jones,
Paul J. Durack, Warrick Dawes, and Peter Hairsine (2010) Climate change
impact on water and salt balances: an assessment of the impact of climate change on catchment salt and water balances in
the Murray-Darling Basin, Australia,
Climatic Change,
100 (3-4), pp 607-631. DOI:
10.1007/s10584-009-9714-z
Sheehan, Peter, Roger N. Jones, Ainsley Jolley, Benjamin L. Preston, Matthew Clarke,
Paul J. Durack, Sardar M.N.
Islam, and Penny H. Whetton (2008) Climate change and the new world economy: Implications for the nature and timing of
policy responses,
Global Environmental Change,
18 (3), pp 380-396. DOI:
10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2008.04.008
Cai, Wenju, Mark Collier,
Paul Durack, Hal Gordon, Anthony Hirst, Siobhan O'Farrell, and Penny Whetton (2003) The
Response of Climate Variability and Mean State to Climate Change: preliminary results from the CSIRO Mark 3 coupled
model,
CLIVAR Exchanges,
8 (4), pp 8-11.
Accessible online
Book Chapters:
Douville, H., K. Raghavan, J. Renwick, R. P. Allan, P. A. Arias, M. Barlow, R. Cerezo-Mota, A. Cherchi, T. Y. Gan,
J. Gergis, D. Jiang, A. Khan, W. Pokam Mba, D. Rosenfield, J. Tierney, O. Zolina, and contributing authors
(2021): Water cycle changes (Chapter 8). In Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working
Group I to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Masson-Delmotte, V., P.
Zhai, A. Pirani, S. L. Connors, C. Pean, S. Berger, N. Caud, Y. Chen, L. Goldfarb, M. I. Gomis, M. Huang, K.
Leitzell, E. Lonnoy, J. B. R. Matthews, T. K. Maycock, T. Waterfield, O. Yelekçi, R. Yu, and B. Zhou (eds.)].
Cambridge University Press. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom, and New York, NY, USA. pp
1055-1210. DOI: 10.1017/9781009157896.010. Accessible online
Eyring, V., N. P. Gillett, K. M. AchutaRao, R. Barimalala, M. Barreiro Parillo, N. Bellouin, C. Cassou,
P. J.
Durack, Y. Kosaka, S. McGregor, S.-K. Min, O. Morgenstern, Y. Sun, and contributing authors (2021): Human
influence on the climate system (Chapter 3). In Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working
Group I to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Masson-Delmotte, V., P. Zhai,
A. Pirani, S. L. Connors, C. Pean, S. Berger, N. Caud, Y. Chen, L. Goldfarb, M. I. Gomis, M. Huang, K. Leitzell, E.
Lonnoy, J. B. R. Matthews, T. K. Maycock, T. Waterfield, O. Yelekçi, R. Yu, and B. Zhou (eds.)]. Cambridge University
Press. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom, and New York, NY, USA. pp 423-551. DOI:
10.1017/9781009157896.005.
Accessible online
Fox-Kemper, B., H. T. Hewitt, C. Xiao, G. Adalgeirsdottir, S. Drijfhout, T. L. Edwards, N. R. Golledge, M. Hemer, R. E.
Kopp, G. Krinner, A. Mix, D. Notz, S. Nowicki, I. S. Nurhati, L. Ruiz, J.-B. Sallee, A. B. A. Slangen, Y. Yu, and
contributing authors (2021): Ocean, cryosphere and sea level change (Chapter 9). In Climate Change 2021: The
Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on
Climate Change [Masson-Delmotte, V., P. Zhai, A. Pirani, S. L. Connors, C. Pean, S. Berger, N. Caud, Y. Chen, L.
Goldfarb, M. I. Gomis, M. Huang, K. Leitzell, E. Lonnoy, J. B. R. Matthews, T. K. Maycock, T. Waterfield, O. Yelekçi, R.
Yu, and B. Zhou (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom, and New York,
NY, USA. pp 1211-1361. DOI: 10.1017/9781009157896.011.
Accessible
online
Garcia-Soto, Carlos, Levke Caesar, Anny Cazenave, Lijing Cheng, Alicia Cheripka,
Paul J. Durack, Karen Evans,
David Halpern, Libby Jewett, Sung Yong Kim, Guancheng Li, Ignatius Rigor, Sunke Schmidtko, Juying Wang, and Tymon
Zielinski (2021) Trends in the physical and chemical state of the ocean (Chapter 5). In: The Second World Ocean
Assessment. World Ocean Assessment II, Vol. I (2021). United Nations.
Accessible online
Gulev, S. K., P. W. Thorne, J. Ahn, F. J. Dentener, C. M. Domingues, S. Gerland, D. Gong, D. S. Kaufman, H. C. Nnamchi,
J. Quaas, J. A. Rivera, S. Sathyendranath, S. L. Smith, B. Trewin, K. von Shuckmann, Russell S. Vose, and
contributing
authors (2021): Changing state of the climate system (Chapter 2). In Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science
Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change
[Masson-Delmotte, V., P. Zhai, A. Pirani, S. L. Connors, C. Pean, S. Berger, N. Caud, Y. Chen, L. Goldfarb, M. I. Gomis,
M. Huang, K. Leitzell, E. Lonnoy, J. B. R. Matthews, T. K. Maycock, T. Waterfield, O. Yelekçi, R. Yu, and B. Zhou
(eds.)]. Cambridge University Press. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom, and New York, NY, USA. pp
287-422. DOI: 10.1017/9781009157896.004.
Accessible online
Byrne, Deidre, Carlos Garcia-Soto, Gordon Hamilton, Eric Leuliette, Lisan Yu, Edmo Campos,
Paul J. Durack,
Guiseppe M. R. Manzella, Kazuaki Tadokoro, Raymond W. Schmitt, Phillip Arkin, Harry Bryden, Leonard Nurse, John
Milliman, Lorna Inniss, and Patricio Bernal (2016) The Ocean's Role in the Hydrological Cycle (Chapter 4). In: The First
Global Integrated Marine Assessment. World Ocean Assessment I (2016). United Nations.
Accessible online
Durack, Paul J., Susan E. Wijffels, and Tim P. Boyer (2013) Long-term salinity changes and implications for the
global water cycle (Chapter 28). In: Ocean Circulation and Climate (Second Edition), A 21st Century Perspective.
Siedler, Gerold, Stephen M. Griffies, John Gould, and John A. Church (Eds.). Volume 103, pp 727-757, International
Geophysics, Academic Press, Elsevier, Oxford OX5 1GB, UK. DOI:
10.1016/B978-0-12-391851-2.00028-3.
Also available through
ResearchGate.
Bindoff, N., P. Stott, K. M. AchutaRao, M. Allen, N. Gillett, D. Gutzler, K. Hansingo, G. Hegerl, Y. Hu, S. Jain I.
Mokhov, J. Overland, J. Perlwitz, R. Sebbari, X. Zhang, and
contributing authors (2013): Detection and Attribution
of Climate Change: from Global to Regional (Chapter 10). In Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis.
Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change
[Stocker, T. F., D. Qin, G. -K. Plattner, M. Tignor, S. K. Allen, J. Boschung, A. Nauels, Y. Xia, V. Bex, and P.M.
Midgley (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom, and New York, NY, USA. pp 867-952. DOI:
10.1017/CBO9781107415324.022.
Accessible online
Flato, G., J. Marotzke, B. Abiodun, P. Braconnot, S.C Chou, W. Collins, P. Cox, F. Driouech, S. Emori, V. Eyring, C.
Forest, P. Gleckler, E. Guilyardi, C. Jakob, V. Kattsov, C. Reason, M. Rummukainen and
contributing authors
(2013): Evaluation of Climate Models (Chapter 9). In Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of
Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Stocker, T. F., D. Qin,
G. -K. Plattner, M. Tignor, S. K. Allen, J. Boschung, A. Nauels, Y. Xia, V. Bex, and P.M. Midgley (eds.)]. Cambridge
University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom, and New York, NY, USA. pp 741-866. DOI: 10.1017/CBO9781107415324.020.
Accessible online
Kirtman, B., S. Power, A. J. Adedoyin, G. Boer, R. Bojariu, I. Camilloni, F. Doblas-Reyes, A. Fiore, M. Kimoto, G.
Meehl, M. Prather, A. Sarr, C. Schar, R. Sutton, G. J. van Oldenborg, G. Vecchi, H.-J. Wang and
contributing
authors (2013): Near-term Climate Change: Projections and Predictability (Chapter 11). In Climate Change 2013:
The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental
Panel on Climate Change [Stocker, T. F., D. Qin, G. -K. Plattner, M. Tignor, S. K. Allen, J. Boschung, A. Nauels, Y.
Xia, V. Bex, and P.M. Midgley (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom, and New York, NY, USA. pp
953-1028. DOI: 10.1017/CBO9781107415324.023.
Accessible online
Rhein, M., S. Rintoul, S. Aoki, E. Campos, D. Chambers, R. Feely, S. Gulev, G. Johnson, S. Josey, A. Kostianoy, C.
Mauritzen, D. Roemmich, L. Talley, F. Wang and
contributing authors (2013): Observations: Ocean (Chapter 3). In
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Reports:
Mizielinski, Matthew S., Paul J. Durack, Karl E. Taylor, John Dunne, Daniel Ellis, Martin Juckes,
Martina Stockhause and Briony Turner (2024) CMIP6Plus. CMIP-IPO Publication No. 005/2024, 11 pp.
CMIP Panel (2024) MIP Best Practise Guidance.
CMIP-IPO Publication No. 01/2024, 2 pp. DOI:
10.5281/zenodo.10572155
Dunne, John,
Paul J. Durack, Isla Simpson, Vaishali Naik, Brian O'Neill, Douglas Rao, Forrest Hoffman,
Paul Ullrich, and Beth Dingley (2023) Co-creating the future CMIP (AGU23 Townhall, December 2023) presentation.
CMIP-IPO Publication, 56 pp. DOI:
10.5281/zenodo.10407107
Dingley, Beth, Eleanor O'Rourke, Briony Turner,
CMIP Panel Members,
WGCM Infrastructure Panel Members, and
CMIP7 Task Team Members (2023) CMIP Annual Report 2022-2023.
CMIP-IPO Publication No. 02/2023, 32 pp. DOI:
10.5281/zenodo.8101810
O'Rourke, Eleanor, Beth Dingley,
Paul J. Durack, Vaishali Naik, Thomas Aubry, Louise Chini, John Fasullo,
Stephanie Fiedler, Bernd Funke, Heather Graven, Michaela Hegglin, Thibaut Lurton, Claire MacIntosh, Zebedee
Nicholls, David Plummer, Keywan Riahi, Stephen Smith, Margreet van Marle, and Tilo Ziehn (2023b). CMIP drop in session
reports: Forcings. CMIP-IPO Publication No. 01/2023, 23 pp. DOI:
10.5281/zenodo.8046147
O'Rourke, Eleanor, Beth Dingley,
Paul J. Durack, and Vaishali Naik (2023a). CMIP Forcings drop-in session
(June 2023) presentation. CMIP-IPO Publication, 41 pp. DOI:
10.5281/zenodo.8042163
Hickmon, Nicki, Charuleka Varadharajan, Forrest Hoffman, Haruko Wainwright, Scott Collis, and
Contributing
Authors (2022) Artificial Intelligence for Earth System Predictability (AI4ESP) (2021 Workshop Report). United States
Department of Energy, Office of Science (SC), Biological and Environmental Research (BER), 413 pp. DOI:
10.2172/1888810
Taylor, Karl E., Martin Juckes, V. Balaji, Luca Cinquini, Sebastien Denvil,
Paul J. Durack, Mark Elkington,
Eric Guilyardi, Slava Kharin, Michael Lautenschlager, Bryan Lawrence, Denis Nadeau, and Martina Stockhause (2018)
CMIP6 Model Output Metadata Requirements, Data Reference Syntax (DRS) and Controlled Vocabularies (CVs). In:
Program for Climate Model Diagnosis and Intercomparison, Livermore, California, USA, 29 pp. DOI:
10.5281/zenodo.12768886
Collins, D., A. Sen Gupta, S. Power, K. Braganza, J. Brown, J. Brown, W. Cai, J. Church, R. Colman, A. Dowdy,
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Durack, D. Jones, M. Kuchinke, Y. Kuleshov, A. Lorrey, C. Lucas, S. McGee, K. McInnes, A. Moise, L. Muir, B.
Murphy, S.J. Phipps, I. Smith, B. Tilbrook, and N. White (2011) Observed climate variability and trends, Climate Change
in the Pacific: Scientific Assessment and New Research, Australian Bureau of Meteorology, and CSIRO, Australia, pp
51-77. Accessible online
here and
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Cai, Wenju, Steve Crimp, Roger Jones, Kathy McInnes,
Paul Durack, Bob Cechet, Janice Bathols, and Scott
Wilkinson (2005) Climate change in Queensland under enhanced greenhouse conditions. Report, 2004-2005, CSIRO Marine
and Atmospheric Research, Aspendale. 82 pp.
Accessible online
Jones, Roger N. and
Paul J. Durack (2005) Estimating the Impacts of Climate Change on Victoria's Runoff using
a Hydrological Sensitivity Model. CSIRO Atmospheric Research, Aspendale. 50 pp.
Accessible online
Jones, Roger N. and
Paul J. Durack (2005) Melbourne Water climate change study technical report. CSIRO
Atmospheric Research, Aspendale. 76 pp.
Accessible online
Macadam, Ian, Kathleen L. McInnes,
Paul J. Durack, and Roger N. Jones (2005) Climate change projections for
SEDSIM modelling over North-East Australia. CSIRO Marine and Atmospheric Research, Melbourne, 10 pp. [restricted
access]
Ryan, B. F., I. Smith, J. McGregor, S. Charles, B. Bates, R. Suppiah, I. G. Watterson, and
P. J. Durack (2005)
How will future climate change be affected by the greenhouse signature? In: Indian Ocean Climate Initiative Stage 2:
Report of Phase 1 Activity. Ryan, B. F. and Hope, P. (Editors) Department of Environment, Hyatt Centre, 3 Plain
Street, East Perth Western Australia. 42 pp.
Accessible online
Whetton, Penny H., Kathleen L. McInnes, Roger N. Jones, Kevin J. Hennessy, Ramasamy Suppiah, Cher M. Page, Janice M.
Bathols, and
Paul J. Durack (2005) Australian climate change projections for impact assessment and policy
application: a review. CSIRO Marine and Atmospheric Research Paper; 001 CSIRO Marine and Atmospheric Research,
Melbourne, 34 pp.
Accessible
online
Software:
Durack, Paul J., Karl E. Taylor, Matthew Mizielinski, Charles Doutriaux, Denis Nadeau, and Martin Juckes (2024)
CMIP6 Controlled Vocabularies (CVs) (6.2.58.73). Zenodo. DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.12197150
Theses:
Durack, Paul J. (2011) Ocean Salinity: A Climate Change Diagnostic? PhD Thesis, University of Tasmania
(Tasmania, Australia), 163 pp. Accessible online
Durack, Paul J. (2002) The Effect of Predicted Climate Change on Western Australian Regional
Oceanography.
Hons Thesis, Murdoch University (Western Australia), 164 pp. Accessible online