Dr. Paul J. Durack

Research Scientist

Tel: +1 (925) 422-5208
Fax: +1 (925) 422-7675
Email: pauldurack at llnl dot gov

Google Scholar Profile ResearchGate Profile Follow me on Academia.edu

Publications:


Durack, Paul J., Karl E. Taylor, Veronika Eyring, Sasha K. Ames, Tony Hoang, Denis Nadeau, Charles Doutriaux, Martina Stockhause and Peter J. Gleckler (2018) Toward standardized data sets for climate model experimentation. Eos, Transactions, American Geophysical Union, 99 (0), in press. DOI: 10.1029/2018EO101751

Durack, Paul J., Tong Lee, Nadya T. Vinogradova and Detlef Stammer (2016) Keeping the lights on for global ocean salinity observation (Commentary). Nature Climate Change, 6 (3), pp 228-231. DOI: 10.1038/nclimate2946

Durack, Paul J. (2015) Ocean Salinity and the Global Water Cycle. Oceanography, 28 (1), pp 20-31. DOI: 10.5670/oceanog.2015.03

Durack, Paul J., Peter J. Gleckler, Felix W. Landerer and Karl E. Taylor (2014) Quantifying Underestimates of Long-term Upper-Ocean Warming. Nature Climate Change, 4 (11), pp 999-1005. DOI: 10.1038/nclimate2389

Durack, Paul J., Susan E. Wijffels and Peter J. Gleckler (2014) Long-term Sea-level Change Revisited: The Role of Salinity. Environmental Research Letters, 9 (11), 114017. DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/9/11/114017

Durack, Paul J., Susan E. Wijffels and Richard J. Matear (2012) Ocean Salinities Reveal Strong Global Water Cycle Intensification During 1950 to 2000, Science, 336 (6080), pp 455-458. DOI: 10.1126/science.1212222

Durack, Paul J., Susan E. Wijffels and Nathaniel L. Bindoff (2011) [Global Oceans] Ocean Salinity: A Water Cycle Diagnostic? [In "State of the Climate 2010"], Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 92 (6), pp S91-S93. DOI: 10.1175/1520-0477-92.6.S1

Durack, Paul J., Susan E. Wijffels (2010) Fifty-Year Trends in Global Ocean Salinities and Their Relationship to Broad-Scale Warming, Journal of Climate, 23 (16), pp 4342-4362. DOI: 10.1175/2010JCLI3377.1


Co-authored publications:

Balaji, Venkatramani, Karl E. Taylor, Martin Juckes, Bryan N. Lawrence, Paul J. Durack, Michael Lautenschlager, Chris Blanton, Luca Cinquini, Sebastien Denvil, Mark Elkington, Francesca Guglielmo, Eric Guilyardi, David Hassell, Slava Kharin, Stefan Kindermann, Sergey Nikonov, Aparna Radhakrishnan, Martina Stockhause, Tobias Weigel and Dean N. Williams (2018) Requirements for a global data infrastructure in support of CMIP6, Geoscientific Model Development, 11, pp 3659-3680. DOI: 10.5194/gmd-11-3659-2018


Purich, Ariaan, Matthew H. England, Wenju Cai, Arnold Sullivan and Paul J. Durack (2018) Impacts of Broad-Scale Surface Freshening of the Southern Ocean in a Coupled Climate Model, Journal of Climate, 31 (7), pp 2613-2632. DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0092.1

Santer, Benjamin D., Stephen Po-Chedley, Mark D. Zelinka, Ivana Cvijanovic, Celine Bonfils, Paul J. Durack, Qiang Fu, Jeffrey Kiehl, Carl Mears, Jeffrey Painter, Guiliana Pallotta, Susan Solomon, Frank J. Wentz and Cheng-Zhi Zou (2018) Human influence on the seasonal cycle of tropospheric temperature, Science, 361 (6399), 11 pp . DOI: 10.1126/science.aas8806

Tsujino, Hiroyuki, Shogo Urakawa, Hideyuki Nakano, R. Justin Small, Who M. Kim, Stephen G. Yeager, Gokhan Danabasoglu, Tatsuo Suzuki, Jonathan L. Bamber, Mats Bentsen, Claus W. Boning, Alexandra Bozec, Eric P. Chassignet, Enrique Churchitser, Fabio Boeira Dias, Paul J. Durack, Stephen M. Griffies, Yayoi Harada, Mehmet Ilicak, Simon A. Josey, Chiaki Kobayashi, Shinya Kobayashi, Yoshiki Komuro, William G. Large, Julien Le Sommer, Simon J. Marsland, Simona Masina, Markus Scheinert, Hiroyuki Tomita, Maria Valdivieso and Dai Yamazaki (2018) JRA-55 based surface dataset for driving ocean-sea-ice models (JRA55-do), Ocean Modelling, 130, pp 79-139. DOI: 10.1016/j.ocemod.2018.07.002

Bonfils, Celine, Gemma Anderson, Benjamin D. Santer, Thomas J. Phillips, Karl E. Taylor, Matthias Cuntz, Mark D. Zelinka, Kate Marvel, Benjamin I. Cook, Ivana Cvijanovic and Paul J. Durack (2017) Competing Influences of Anthropogenic Warming, ENSO, and Plant Physiology on Future Terrestrial Aridity, Journal of Climate, 30 (17), pp 6883-6904. DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0005.1

Ivanova, Detelina, Peter J. Gleckler, Karl E. Taylor, Paul J. Durack and Kate Marvel (2016) A Holistic Approach for Gauging Model Biases in Sea Ice Distribution: Moving beyond the Total Sea Ice Extent to Rectify Compensating Errors, Journal of Climate, 29 (24), pp 8965-8987. DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0026.1

Gleckler, Peter J., Charles Doutriaux, Paul J. Durack, Karl E. Taylor, Yuying Zhang, Dean Williams, Erik Mason and Jerome Servonnat (2016) A more powerful reality test for climate models, Eos, Transactions, American Geophysical Union, 97 (12). DOI: 10.1029/2016EO051663

Vinogradova, Nadya T., Tong Lee, Paul J. Durack, Jacqueline Boutin and Detlef Stammer (2016) Ocean Salinity and the Water Cycle: Recent Progress and Future Challenges, GEWEX News, 26 (1), pp 3-5. Accessible online

Gleckler, Peter J., Paul J. Durack, Ronald J. Stouffer, Gregory C. Johnson and Chris E. Forest (2016) Industrial-era global ocean heat uptake doubles in recent decades, Nature Climate Change, 6 (4), pp 394-398. DOI: 10.1038/nclimate2915

Griffies, Stephen M., Gokhan Danabasoglu, Alistair J. Adcroft, V. Balaji, Claus Böning, Enrique Curchitser, Helge Drange, Paul J. Durack, Peter J. Gleckler, Jonathan M. Gregory, David Holland, Yoshiki Komuro, John P. Krasting, William Large, Simon J. Marsland, Simona Masina, Trevor J. McDougall, James C. Orr, Anna Pirani, Ronald J. Stouffer, Karl E. Taylor, Michael Winton, Stephen Yeager and co-authors (in review) Experimental and diagnostic protocol for the physical component of the CMIP6 Ocean Model Intercomparison Project (OMIP), Geoscientific Model Development, 9 (9), pp 3231-3296. DOI: 10.5194/gmd-2016-77

Lago, Veronique, Susan E. Wijffels, Paul J. Durack, John A. Church, Nathaniel, L. Bindoff and Simon J. Marsland (2016) Simulating the role of surface forcing on observed multidecadal upper ocean salinity changes, Journal of Climate, 25 (19), pp 5575-5588. DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0519.1

Hegerl, Gabriele C., Emily Black, Richard P. Allan, William J. Ingram, Debbie Polson, Kevin E. Trenberth, Robin S. Chadwick, Phillip A. Arkin, Beena Balan Sarojini, Andreas Becker, Aiguo Dai, Paul J. Durack and co-authors (2015) Challenges in quantifying changes in the global water cycle, Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 96 (7), pp 1097-1115. DOI: 10.1175/BAMS-D-13-00212.1

Griffies, Stephen M., Jianjun Yin, Paul J. Durack and co-authors (2014) An Assessment of global and regional sea level for years 1993-2007 in a suite of interannual CORE-II simulations, Ocean Modelling, 78, pp 35-89. DOI: 10.1016/j.ocemod.2014.03.004

Griffies, S. M., J. Yin, S. C. Bates, E. Behrens, M. Bentsen, D. Bi, A. Biastoch, C. Böning, A. Bozec, C. Cassou, E. Chassignet, G. Danabasoglu, S. Danilov, C. Domingues, H. Drange, P. J. Durack and co-authors (2013) An assessment of global and regional sea level in a suite of interannual CORE-II simulations: a synopsis. Exchanges: newsletter of the Climate Variability and Predictability Programme (CLIVAR), No. 62, Vol. 18 (2), pp 11-15. Accessible online

Pierce, David W., Peter J. Gleckler, Tim P. Barnett, Benjamin D. Santer, Paul J. Durack (2012) The fingerprint of human-induced changes in the ocean's salinity and temperature fields, Geophysical Research Letters, GL053389. DOI: 10.1029/2012GL053389

Sen Gupta, Alex, Les C. Muir, Jaclyn N. Brown, Steven J. Phipps, Paul J. Durack, Didier Monselesan, Susan E. Wijffels (2012) Climate Drift in the CMIP3 Models, Journal of Climate, 25 (13), pp 4621-4640. DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00312.1

Austin, Jenet, Lu Zhang, Roger N. Jones, Paul J. Durack, Warrick Dawes and Peter Hairsine (2010) Climate change impact on water and salt balances: an assessment of the impact of climate change on catchment salt and water balances in the Murray-Darling Basin, Australia, Climatic Change, 100 (3-4), pp 607-631. DOI: 10.1007/s10584-009-9714-z

Sheehan, Peter, Roger N. Jones, Ainsley Jolley, Benjamin L. Preston, Matthew Clarke, Paul J. Durack, Sardar M.N. Islam, Penny H. Whetton (2008) Climate change and the new world economy: Implications for the nature and timing of policy responses, Global Environmental Change, 18 (3), pp 380-396. DOI: 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2008.04.008

Cai, Wenju, Mark Collier, Paul Durack, Hal Gordon, Anthony Hirst, Siobhan O'Farrell and Penny Whetton (2003) The Response of Climate Variability and Mean State to Climate Change: preliminary results from the CSIRO Mark 3 coupled model, CLIVAR Exchanges, 8 (4), pp 8-11. Accessible online


Book Chapters:

Byrne, Deidre, Carlos Garcia-Soto, Gordon Hamilton, Eric Leuliette, Lisan Yu, Edmo Campos, Paul J. Durack, Guiseppe M. R. Manzella, Kazuaki Tadokoro, Raymond W. Schmitt, Phillip Arkin, Harry Bryden, Leonard Nurse, John Milliman, Lorna Inniss and Patricio Bernal (2016) The Ocean's Role in the Hydrological Cycle (Chapter 4). In: The First Global Integrated Marine Assessment. World Ocean Assessment I (2016). United Nations. Accessible online

Durack, Paul J., Susan E. Wijffels and Tim P. Boyer (2013) Long-term salinity changes and implications for the global water cycle (Chapter 28). In: Ocean Circulation and Climate (Second Edition), A 21st Century Perspective. Siedler, Gerold, Stephen M. Griffies, John Gould and John A. Church (Eds.). Volume 103, pp 727-757, International Geophysics, Academic Press, Elsevier, Oxford OX5 1GB, UK. DOI: 10.1016/B978-0-12-391851-2.00028-3. Also available through ResearchGate.


Bindoff, N., P. Stott, K. M. AchutaRao, M. Allen, N. Gillett, D. Gutzler, K. Hansingo, G. Hegerl, Y. Hu, S. Jain I. Mokhov, J. Overland, J. Perlwitz, R. Sebbari, X. Zhang and contributing authors, 2013: Detection and Attribution of Climate Change: from Global to Regional (Chapter 10). In Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Stocker, T. F., D. Qin and G. -K. Plattner, M. Tignor, S. K. Allen, J. Boschung, A. Nauels, Y. Xia, V. Bex and P.M. Midgley (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA. pp 867-952. DOI: 10.1017/CBO9781107415324.022. Accessible online

Flato, G., J. Marotzke, B. Abiodun, P. Braconnot, S.C Chou, W. Collins, P. Cox, F. Driouech, S. Emori, V. Eyring, C. Forest, P. Gleckler, E. Guilyardi, C. Jakob, V. Kattsov, C. Reason, M. Rummukainen and contributing authors, 2013: Evaluation of Climate Models (Chapter 9). In Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Stocker, T. F., D. Qin and G. -K. Plattner, M. Tignor, S. K. Allen, J. Boschung, A. Nauels, Y. Xia, V. Bex and P.M. Midgley (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA. pp 741-866. DOI: 10.1017/CBO9781107415324.020. Accessible online

Kirtman, B., S. Power, A. J. Adedoyin, G. Boer, R. Bojariu, I. Camilloni, F. Doblas-Reyes, A. Fiore, M. Kimoto, G. Meehl, M. Prather, A. Sarr, C. Schar, R. Sutton, G. J. van Oldenborg, G. Vecchi, H.-J. Wang and contributing authors, 2013: Near-term Climate Change: Projections and Predictability (Chapter 11). In Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Stocker, T. F., D. Qin and G. -K. Plattner, M. Tignor, S. K. Allen, J. Boschung, A. Nauels, Y. Xia, V. Bex and P.M. Midgley (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA. pp 953-1028. DOI: 10.1017/CBO9781107415324.023. Accessible online

Rhein, M., S. Rintoul, S. Aoki, E. Campos, D. Chambers, R. Feely, S. Gulev, G. Johnson, S. Josey, A. Kostianoy, C. Mauritzen, D. Roemmich, L. Talley, F. Wang and contributing authors, 2013: Observations: Ocean (Chapter 3). In Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Stocker, T. F., D. Qin and G. -K. Plattner, M. Tignor, S. K. Allen, J. Boschung, A. Nauels, Y. Xia, V. Bex and P.M. Midgley (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA. pp 255-315. DOI: 10.1017/CBO9781107415324.010. Accessible online


Reports:

Collins, D., A. Sen Gupta, S. Power, K. Braganza, J. Brown, J. Brown, W. Cai, J. Church, R. Colman, A. Dowdy, P. Durack, D. Jones, M. Kuchinke, Y. Kuleshov, A. Lorrey, C. Lucas, S. McGee, K. McInnes, A. Moise, L. Muir, B. Murphy, S.J. Phipps, I. Smith, B. Tilbrook, N. White (2011) Observed climate variability and trends, Climate Change in the Pacific: Scientific Assessment and New Research, Australian Bureau of Meteorology and CSIRO, Australia, pp 51-77. Accessible online here and here

Cai, Wenju, Steve Crimp, Roger Jones, Kathy McInnes, Paul Durack, Bob Cechet, Janice Bathols and Scott Wilkinson (2005) Climate change in Queensland under enhanced greenhouse conditions. Report, 2004-2005, CSIRO Marine and Atmospheric Research, Aspendale. 82 pp. Accessible online

Jones, Roger N. and Paul J. Durack (2005) Estimating the Impacts of Climate Change on Victoria's Runoff using a Hydrological Sensitivity Model. CSIRO Atmospheric Research, Aspendale. 50 pp. Accessible online

Jones, Roger N. and Paul J. Durack (2005) Melbourne Water climate change study technical report. CSIRO Atmospheric Research, Aspendale. 76 pp. Accessible online

Macadam, Ian, Kathleen L. McInnes, Paul J. Durack and Roger N. Jones (2005) Climate change projections for SEDSIM modelling over North-East Australia. CSIRO Marine and Atmospheric Research, Melbourne, 10 pp. [restricted access]

Ryan, B. F., I. Smith, J. McGregor, S. Charles, B. Bates, R. Suppiah, I. G. Watterson and P. J. Durack (2005) How will future climate change be affected by the greenhouse signature? In: Indian Ocean Climate Initiative Stage 2: Report of Phase 1 Activity. Ryan, B. F. and Hope, P. (Editors) Department of Environment, Hyatt Centre, 3 Plain Street, East Perth Western Australia. 42 pp. Accessible online

Whetton, Penny H., Kathleen L. McInnes, Roger N. Jones, Kevin J. Hennessy, Ramasamy Suppiah, Cher M. Page, Janice M. Bathols and Paul J. Durack (2005) Australian climate change projections for impact assessment and policy application: a review. CSIRO Marine and Atmospheric Research Paper; 001 CSIRO Marine and Atmospheric Research, Melbourne, 34 pp. Accessible online


Theses:

Durack, Paul J. (2011) Ocean Salinity: A Climate Change Diagnostic? PhD Thesis, University of Tasmania (Tasmania, Australia), 163 pp. Accessible online

Durack, Paul J. (2002) The Effect of Predicted Climate Change on Western Australian Regional Oceanography. Hons Thesis, Murdoch University (Western Australia), 164 pp. Accessible online