Dr. Paul J. Durack

Research Scientist

Tel: +1 (925) 422-5208
Fax: +1 (925) 422-7675
Email: pauldurack at llnl dot gov

Google Scholar Profile ResearchGate Profile Follow me on Academia.edu

Publications:


Durack, Paul J., Peter J. Gleckler, Sarah G. Purkey, Gregory C. Johnson, John M. Lyman, and Tim P. Boyer (2018b) Ocean Warming: From the Surface to the Deep in Observations and Models. Oceanography, 32 (2), pp 41-51. DOI: 10.5670/oceanog.2018.227

Durack, Paul J., Alex Sen Gupta, and Lars H. Smedsrud (2018a) From the Guest Editors: Introduction to the Special Issue on Ocean Warming. Oceanography, 32 (2), pp 28-31. DOI: 10.5670/oceanog.2018.226

Durack, Paul J., Karl E. Taylor, Veronika Eyring, Sasha K. Ames, Tony Hoang, Denis Nadeau, Charles Doutriaux, Martina Stockhause, and Peter J. Gleckler (2018) Toward standardized data sets for climate model experimentation. Eos, Transactions, American Geophysical Union, 99. DOI: 10.1029/2018EO101751

Durack, Paul J., Tong Lee, Nadya T. Vinogradova, and Detlef Stammer (2016) Keeping the lights on for global ocean salinity observation (Commentary). Nature Climate Change, 6 (3), pp 228-231. DOI: 10.1038/nclimate2946

Durack, Paul J. (2015) Ocean Salinity and the Global Water Cycle. Oceanography, 28 (1), pp 20-31. DOI: 10.5670/oceanog.2015.03

Durack, Paul J., Peter J. Gleckler, Felix W. Landerer, and Karl E. Taylor (2014) Quantifying Underestimates of Long-term Upper-Ocean Warming. Nature Climate Change, 4 (11), pp 999-1005. DOI: 10.1038/nclimate2389

Durack, Paul J., Susan E. Wijffels, and Peter J. Gleckler (2014) Long-term Sea-level Change Revisited: The Role of Salinity. Environmental Research Letters, 9 (11), 114017. DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/9/11/114017

Durack, Paul J., Susan E. Wijffels, and Richard J. Matear (2012) Ocean Salinities Reveal Strong Global Water Cycle Intensification During 1950 to 2000, Science, 336 (6080), pp 455-458. DOI: 10.1126/science.1212222

Durack, Paul J., Susan E. Wijffels, and Nathaniel L. Bindoff (2011) [Global Oceans] Ocean Salinity: A Water Cycle Diagnostic? [In "State of the Climate 2010"], Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 92 (6), pp S91-S93. DOI: 10.1175/1520-0477-92.6.S1

Durack, Paul J., Susan E. Wijffels (2010) Fifty-Year Trends in Global Ocean Salinities and Their Relationship to Broad-Scale Warming, Journal of Climate, 23 (16), pp 4342-4362. DOI: 10.1175/2010JCLI3377.1


Co-authored publications:

Lambert, Francis H., Richard Allan, Ali Behrangi, Michael Byrne, Paulo Ceppi, Robin Chadwick, Paul J. Durack, Giorgia Fosser, Hayley Fowler, Peter Greve, Tong Lee, Harry Mutton, Paul O'Gorman, Joe Osborne, Angeline Pendergrass, John Reager, Philip Stier, Abigail Swann, Alexander Todd, Sergio M. Vicente-Serrano, and Graeme Stephens (2024) Future changes in the regional water cycle and their impact on societies, WIRES Climate Change, in review, 23 pp.


Juckes, Martin, Karl E. Taylor, Fabrizio Antonio, David Brayshaw, Carlos Buontempo, Jian Cao, Paul J. Durack, Michio Kawamiya, Hyungjun Kim, Tomas Lovato, Chloe Mackallah, Matthew Mizielinski, Alessandra Nuzzo, Martina Stockhause, Daniele Visioni, Jeremy Walton, Briony Turner, Eleanor O'Rourke, and Elisabeth Dingley (2024) Baseline Climate Variables for Earth System Modelling, Geoscientific Model Development, in review, 37 pp. DOI: 10.5194/egusphere-2024-2363

Arcodia, Marybeth, Elizabeth A. Barnes, Paul J. Durack, Patrick W. Keys, and Juliette Rocha (2024) Sea Surface Salinity Provides Subseasonal Predictability for Forecasts of Opportunity of U.S. Summertime Precipitation, Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, in review, 30 pp. DOI: 10.22541/essoar.172590237.75793923/v1

Lee, Jiwoo, Peter J. Gleckler, Min-Seop Ahn, Ana Ordonez, Paul A. Ullrich, Kenneth R. Sperber, Karl E. Taylor, Yann Y. Planton, Eric Guilyardi, Paul J. Durack, Celine Bonfils, Mark D. Zelinka, Li-Wei Chao, Bo Dong, Charles Doutriaux, Chengzhu Zhang, Tom Vo, Jason Boutte, Michael F. Wehner, Angeline G. Pendergrass, Daehyun Kim, Zeyu Xue, Andrew T. Wittenberg, and John Krasting (2024) Objective Evaluation of Earth System Models: PCMDI Metrics Package (PMP) version 3, Geoscientific Model Development, 17 (9), pp 3919-3948. DOI: 10.5194/gmd-17-3919-2024

Röthig, Till, Stacey M. Trevathan-Tackett, Christian R. Voolstra, Cliff Ross, Samuel Chaffron, Paul J. Durack, Laura M. Warmuth, and Michael Sweet (2023) Human-induced salinity changes impact marine organisms and ecosystems, Global Change Biology, 29 (17), pp 4731-4749. DOI: 10.1111/gcb.16859

Schmidt, Gavin A., Timothy Andrews, Susanne E. Bauer, Paul J. Durack, Norman G. Loeb, V. Ramaswamy, Nathan P. Arnold, Michael G. Bosilovich, Jason Cole, Larry W. Horowitz, Gregory C. Johnson, John M. Lyman, Brian Medeiros, Takuro Michibata, Dirk Olonscheck, David Paynter, Shiv Priyam Raghuraman, Michael Schulz, Daisuke Takasuka, Vijay Tallapragada, Patrick C. Taylor, and Tilo Ziehn (2023) CERESMIP: a climate modeling protocol to investigate trends in Earth's Energy Imbalance, Frontiers in Climate: Predictions and Projections, 5, 10 pp. DOI: 10.3389/fclim.2023.1202161

Tesdal, Jan-Erik, Graeme A. MacGilchrist, Rebecca L. Beadling, Stephen M. Griffies, John P. Krasting, and Paul J. Durack (2023) Revisiting Interior Water Mass Responses to Surface Forcing Changes and the Subsequent Effects on Overturning in the Southern Ocean, Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 128 (3), e2022JC019105, 36 pp. DOI: 10.1029/2022JC019105

McDougall, Trevor J., Paul M. Barker, Ryan M. Holmes, Rich Pawlowicz, Stephen M. Griffies, and Paul J. Durack (2021) The interpretation of temperature and salinity variables in numerical ocean model output, and the calculation of heat fluxes and heat content, Geoscientific Model Development, 14 (10), pp 6445-6466. DOI: 10.5194/gmd-14-6445-2021

Rieger, Landon A., Jason N. Cole, John C. Fyfe, Stephen Po-Chedley, Philip J. Cameron-Smith, Paul J. Durack, Nathan P. Gillett, and Qi Tang (2020) Quantifying CanESM5 and EAMv1 sensitivities to Mt. Pinatubo volcanic forcing for the CMIP6 historical experiment, Geoscientific Model Development, 13 (10), pp 4831-4843. DOI: 10.5194/gmd-13-4831-2020

Silvy, Yona, Eric Guilyardi, Jean-Baptiste Sallee, and Paul J. Durack (2020) Human-induced changes to the global ocean water masses and their time of emergence, Nature Climate Change, 10 (11), pp 1030-1036. DOI: 10.1038/s41558-020-0878-x

Waliser, Duane, Peter J. Gleckler, Robert Ferraro, Karl E. Taylor, Sasha Ames, James Biard, Michael G. Bosilovich, Otis Brown, Helen Chepfer, Luca Cinquini, Paul J. Durack, Veronika Eyring, Pierre-Phillipe Mathieu, Tsengdar Lee, Simon Pinnock, Gerald L. Potter, Michel Rixen, Roger Saunders, Jorg Shulz, Jean-Noel Thepaut, and Matthias Tuma (2020) Observations for Model Intercomparison Project (Obs4MIPs): Status for CMIP6, Geoscientific Model Development, 13 (7), pp 2945-2958. DOI: 10.5194/gmd-13-2945-2020

Stephens, Graeme L., Julia M. Slingo, Eric Rignot, John T. Reager, Maria Z. Hakuba, Paul J. Durack, John Worden, and Remy Rocca (2020) Earth's Water Reservoirs in a changing climate, Proceedings of the Royal Society A, 476 (2236), 34 pp. DOI: 10.1098/rspa.2019.0458

Juckes, Martin, Karl E. Taylor, Paul J. Durack, Bryan Lawrence, Matthew Mizielinski, Alison Pamment, Jean-Yves Peterschmitt, Michel Rixen, and Stephane Senesis (2020) The CMIP6 Data Request (DREQ, version 01.00.31), Geoscientific Model Development, 13 (1), pp 201-224. DOI: 10.5194/gmd-13-201-2020

Palmer, Matthew D., Paul J. Durack, Maria Paz Chidichimo, John A. Church, Sophie Cravatte, Katy Hill, Johnny Johannessen, Johannes Karstensen, Tong Lee, David Legler, Matt Mazloff, Eitarou Oka, Sarah Purkey, Ben Rabe, Jean-Baptiste Sallee, Bernadette M. Sloyan, Sabrina Speich, Karina von Schuckmann, Josh Willis, and Susan E. Wijffels (2019) Adequacy of the Ocean Observation System for Quantifying Regional Heat and Freshwater Storage and Change, Frontiers in Marine Science, 6 (Article 416), 26 pp. DOI: 10.3389/fmars.2019.00416

Marvel, Kate, Benjamin I. Cook, Celine J. W. Bonfils, Paul J. Durack, Jason E. Smerdon, and A. Park Williams (2019) Twentieth-century hydroclimate changes consistent with human influence, Nature, 569 (7754), pp 59-65. DOI: 10.1038/s41586-019-1149-8

van Rensch, Peter, Julie Arblaster, Ailie J. Gallant, Wenju Cai, Neville Nicholls, and Paul J. Durack (2019) Mechanisms causing east Australian spring rainfall differences between three strong El Nino events, Climate Dynamics, 53 (5-6), pp 3641-3659. DOI: 10.1007/s00382-019-04732-1

Balaji, Venkatramani, Karl E. Taylor, Martin Juckes, Bryan N. Lawrence, Paul J. Durack, Michael Lautenschlager, Chris Blanton, Luca Cinquini, Sebastien Denvil, Mark Elkington, Francesca Guglielmo, Eric Guilyardi, David Hassell, Slava Kharin, Stefan Kindermann, Sergey Nikonov, Aparna Radhakrishnan, Martina Stockhause, Tobias Weigel, and Dean N. Williams (2018) Requirements for a global data infrastructure in support of CMIP6, Geoscientific Model Development, 11 (9), pp 3659-3680. DOI: 10.5194/gmd-11-3659-2018

Purich, Ariaan, Matthew H. England, Wenju Cai, Arnold Sullivan, and Paul J. Durack (2018) Impacts of Broad-Scale Surface Freshening of the Southern Ocean in a Coupled Climate Model, Journal of Climate, 31 (7), pp 2613-2632. DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0092.1

Santer, Benjamin D., Stephen Po-Chedley, Mark D. Zelinka, Ivana Cvijanovic, Celine Bonfils, Paul J. Durack, Qiang Fu, Jeffrey Kiehl, Carl Mears, Jeffrey Painter, Giuliana Pallotta, Susan Solomon, Frank J. Wentz, and Cheng-Zhi Zou (2018) Human influence on the seasonal cycle of tropospheric temperature, Science, 361 (6399), 11 pp. DOI: 10.1126/science.aas8806

Tsujino, Hiroyuki, Shogo Urakawa, Hideyuki Nakano, R. Justin Small, Who M. Kim, Stephen G. Yeager, Gokhan Danabasoglu, Tatsuo Suzuki, Jonathan L. Bamber, Mats Bentsen, Claus W. Boning, Alexandra Bozec, Eric P. Chassignet, Enrique Churchitser, Fabio Boeira Dias, Paul J. Durack, Stephen M. Griffies, Yayoi Harada, Mehmet Ilicak, Simon A. Josey, Chiaki Kobayashi, Shinya Kobayashi, Yoshiki Komuro, William G. Large, Julien Le Sommer, Simon J. Marsland, Simona Masina, Markus Scheinert, Hiroyuki Tomita, Maria Valdivieso, and Dai Yamazaki (2018) JRA-55 based surface dataset for driving ocean-sea-ice models (JRA55-do), Ocean Modelling, 130, pp 79-139. DOI: 10.1016/j.ocemod.2018.07.002

Bonfils, Celine, Gemma Anderson, Benjamin D. Santer, Thomas J. Phillips, Karl E. Taylor, Matthias Cuntz, Mark D. Zelinka, Kate Marvel, Benjamin I. Cook, Ivana Cvijanovic, and Paul J. Durack (2017) Competing Influences of Anthropogenic Warming, ENSO, and Plant Physiology on Future Terrestrial Aridity, Journal of Climate, 30 (17), pp 6883-6904. DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0005.1

Ivanova, Detelina, Peter J. Gleckler, Karl E. Taylor, Paul J. Durack, and Kate Marvel (2016) A Holistic Approach for Gauging Model Biases in Sea Ice Distribution: Moving beyond the Total Sea Ice Extent to Rectify Compensating Errors, Journal of Climate, 29 (24), pp 8965-8987. DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0026.1

Gleckler, Peter J., Charles Doutriaux, Paul J. Durack, Karl E. Taylor, Yuying Zhang, Dean Williams, Erik Mason, and Jerome Servonnat (2016) A more powerful reality test for climate models, Eos, Transactions, American Geophysical Union, 97 (12). DOI: 10.1029/2016EO051663

Vinogradova, Nadya T., Tong Lee, Paul J. Durack, Jacqueline Boutin, and Detlef Stammer (2016) Ocean Salinity and the Water Cycle: Recent Progress and Future Challenges, GEWEX News, 26 (1), pp 3-5. Accessible online

Gleckler, Peter J., Paul J. Durack, Ronald J. Stouffer, Gregory C. Johnson, and Chris E. Forest (2016) Industrial-era global ocean heat uptake doubles in recent decades, Nature Climate Change, 6 (4), pp 394-398. DOI: 10.1038/nclimate2915

Griffies, Stephen M., Gokhan Danabasoglu, Alistair J. Adcroft, V. Balaji, Claus Böning, Enrique Curchitser, Helge Drange, Paul J. Durack, Peter J. Gleckler, Jonathan M. Gregory, David Holland, Yoshiki Komuro, John P. Krasting, William Large, Simon J. Marsland, Simona Masina, Trevor J. McDougall, James C. Orr, Anna Pirani, Ronald J. Stouffer, Karl E. Taylor, Michael Winton, Stephen Yeager, and co-authors (2016) Experimental and diagnostic protocol for the physical component of the CMIP6 Ocean Model Intercomparison Project (OMIP), Geoscientific Model Development, 9 (9), pp 3231-3296. DOI: 10.5194/gmd-9-3231-2016

Lago, Veronique, Susan E. Wijffels, Paul J. Durack, John A. Church, Nathaniel, L. Bindoff, and Simon J. Marsland (2016) Simulating the role of surface forcing on observed multidecadal upper ocean salinity changes, Journal of Climate, 25 (19), pp 5575-5588. DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0519.1

Hegerl, Gabriele C., Emily Black, Richard P. Allan, William J. Ingram, Debbie Polson, Kevin E. Trenberth, Robin S. Chadwick, Phillip A. Arkin, Beena Balan Sarojini, Andreas Becker, Aiguo Dai, Paul J. Durack, and co-authors (2015) Challenges in quantifying changes in the global water cycle, Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 96 (7), pp 1097-1115. DOI: 10.1175/BAMS-D-13-00212.1

Griffies, Stephen M., Jianjun Yin, Paul J. Durack, and co-authors (2014) An Assessment of global and regional sea level for years 1993-2007 in a suite of interannual CORE-II simulations, Ocean Modelling, 78, pp 35-89. DOI: 10.1016/j.ocemod.2014.03.004

Griffies, S. M., J. Yin, S. C. Bates, E. Behrens, M. Bentsen, D. Bi, A. Biastoch, C. Böning, A. Bozec, C. Cassou, E. Chassignet, G. Danabasoglu, S. Danilov, C. Domingues, H. Drange, P. J. Durack, and co-authors (2013) An assessment of global and regional sea level in a suite of interannual CORE-II simulations: a synopsis. Exchanges: newsletter of the Climate Variability and Predictability Programme (CLIVAR), No. 62, Vol. 18 (2), pp 11-15. Accessible online

Pierce, David W., Peter J. Gleckler, Tim P. Barnett, Benjamin D. Santer, and Paul J. Durack (2012) The fingerprint of human-induced changes in the ocean's salinity and temperature fields, Geophysical Research Letters, 39 (21), GL053389. DOI: 10.1029/2012GL053389

Sen Gupta, Alex, Les C. Muir, Jaclyn N. Brown, Steven J. Phipps, Paul J. Durack, Didier Monselesan, and Susan E. Wijffels (2012) Climate Drift in the CMIP3 Models, Journal of Climate, 25 (13), pp 4621-4640. DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00312.1

Austin, Jenet, Lu Zhang, Roger N. Jones, Paul J. Durack, Warrick Dawes, and Peter Hairsine (2010) Climate change impact on water and salt balances: an assessment of the impact of climate change on catchment salt and water balances in the Murray-Darling Basin, Australia, Climatic Change, 100 (3-4), pp 607-631. DOI: 10.1007/s10584-009-9714-z

Sheehan, Peter, Roger N. Jones, Ainsley Jolley, Benjamin L. Preston, Matthew Clarke, Paul J. Durack, Sardar M.N. Islam, and Penny H. Whetton (2008) Climate change and the new world economy: Implications for the nature and timing of policy responses, Global Environmental Change, 18 (3), pp 380-396. DOI: 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2008.04.008

Cai, Wenju, Mark Collier, Paul Durack, Hal Gordon, Anthony Hirst, Siobhan O'Farrell, and Penny Whetton (2003) The Response of Climate Variability and Mean State to Climate Change: preliminary results from the CSIRO Mark 3 coupled model, CLIVAR Exchanges, 8 (4), pp 8-11. Accessible online


Book Chapters:

Douville, H., K. Raghavan, J. Renwick, R. P. Allan, P. A. Arias, M. Barlow, R. Cerezo-Mota, A. Cherchi, T. Y. Gan, J. Gergis, D. Jiang, A. Khan, W. Pokam Mba, D. Rosenfield, J. Tierney, O. Zolina, and contributing authors (2021): Water cycle changes (Chapter 8). In Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Masson-Delmotte, V., P. Zhai, A. Pirani, S. L. Connors, C. Pean, S. Berger, N. Caud, Y. Chen, L. Goldfarb, M. I. Gomis, M. Huang, K. Leitzell, E. Lonnoy, J. B. R. Matthews, T. K. Maycock, T. Waterfield, O. Yelekçi, R. Yu, and B. Zhou (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom, and New York, NY, USA. pp 1055-1210. DOI: 10.1017/9781009157896.010. Accessible online


Eyring, V., N. P. Gillett, K. M. AchutaRao, R. Barimalala, M. Barreiro Parillo, N. Bellouin, C. Cassou, P. J. Durack, Y. Kosaka, S. McGregor, S.-K. Min, O. Morgenstern, Y. Sun, and contributing authors (2021): Human influence on the climate system (Chapter 3). In Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Masson-Delmotte, V., P. Zhai, A. Pirani, S. L. Connors, C. Pean, S. Berger, N. Caud, Y. Chen, L. Goldfarb, M. I. Gomis, M. Huang, K. Leitzell, E. Lonnoy, J. B. R. Matthews, T. K. Maycock, T. Waterfield, O. Yelekçi, R. Yu, and B. Zhou (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom, and New York, NY, USA. pp 423-551. DOI: 10.1017/9781009157896.005. Accessible online

Fox-Kemper, B., H. T. Hewitt, C. Xiao, G. Adalgeirsdottir, S. Drijfhout, T. L. Edwards, N. R. Golledge, M. Hemer, R. E. Kopp, G. Krinner, A. Mix, D. Notz, S. Nowicki, I. S. Nurhati, L. Ruiz, J.-B. Sallee, A. B. A. Slangen, Y. Yu, and contributing authors (2021): Ocean, cryosphere and sea level change (Chapter 9). In Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Masson-Delmotte, V., P. Zhai, A. Pirani, S. L. Connors, C. Pean, S. Berger, N. Caud, Y. Chen, L. Goldfarb, M. I. Gomis, M. Huang, K. Leitzell, E. Lonnoy, J. B. R. Matthews, T. K. Maycock, T. Waterfield, O. Yelekçi, R. Yu, and B. Zhou (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom, and New York, NY, USA. pp 1211-1361. DOI: 10.1017/9781009157896.011. Accessible online

Garcia-Soto, Carlos, Levke Caesar, Anny Cazenave, Lijing Cheng, Alicia Cheripka, Paul J. Durack, Karen Evans, David Halpern, Libby Jewett, Sung Yong Kim, Guancheng Li, Ignatius Rigor, Sunke Schmidtko, Juying Wang, and Tymon Zielinski (2021) Trends in the physical and chemical state of the ocean (Chapter 5). In: The Second World Ocean Assessment. World Ocean Assessment II, Vol. I (2021). United Nations. Accessible online

Gulev, S. K., P. W. Thorne, J. Ahn, F. J. Dentener, C. M. Domingues, S. Gerland, D. Gong, D. S. Kaufman, H. C. Nnamchi, J. Quaas, J. A. Rivera, S. Sathyendranath, S. L. Smith, B. Trewin, K. von Shuckmann, Russell S. Vose, and contributing authors (2021): Changing state of the climate system (Chapter 2). In Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Masson-Delmotte, V., P. Zhai, A. Pirani, S. L. Connors, C. Pean, S. Berger, N. Caud, Y. Chen, L. Goldfarb, M. I. Gomis, M. Huang, K. Leitzell, E. Lonnoy, J. B. R. Matthews, T. K. Maycock, T. Waterfield, O. Yelekçi, R. Yu, and B. Zhou (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom, and New York, NY, USA. pp 287-422. DOI: 10.1017/9781009157896.004. Accessible online

Byrne, Deidre, Carlos Garcia-Soto, Gordon Hamilton, Eric Leuliette, Lisan Yu, Edmo Campos, Paul J. Durack, Guiseppe M. R. Manzella, Kazuaki Tadokoro, Raymond W. Schmitt, Phillip Arkin, Harry Bryden, Leonard Nurse, John Milliman, Lorna Inniss, and Patricio Bernal (2016) The Ocean's Role in the Hydrological Cycle (Chapter 4). In: The First Global Integrated Marine Assessment. World Ocean Assessment I (2016). United Nations. Accessible online

Durack, Paul J., Susan E. Wijffels, and Tim P. Boyer (2013) Long-term salinity changes and implications for the global water cycle (Chapter 28). In: Ocean Circulation and Climate (Second Edition), A 21st Century Perspective. Siedler, Gerold, Stephen M. Griffies, John Gould, and John A. Church (Eds.). Volume 103, pp 727-757, International Geophysics, Academic Press, Elsevier, Oxford OX5 1GB, UK. DOI: 10.1016/B978-0-12-391851-2.00028-3. Also available through ResearchGate.

Bindoff, N., P. Stott, K. M. AchutaRao, M. Allen, N. Gillett, D. Gutzler, K. Hansingo, G. Hegerl, Y. Hu, S. Jain I. Mokhov, J. Overland, J. Perlwitz, R. Sebbari, X. Zhang, and contributing authors (2013): Detection and Attribution of Climate Change: from Global to Regional (Chapter 10). In Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Stocker, T. F., D. Qin, G. -K. Plattner, M. Tignor, S. K. Allen, J. Boschung, A. Nauels, Y. Xia, V. Bex, and P.M. Midgley (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom, and New York, NY, USA. pp 867-952. DOI: 10.1017/CBO9781107415324.022. Accessible online

Flato, G., J. Marotzke, B. Abiodun, P. Braconnot, S.C Chou, W. Collins, P. Cox, F. Driouech, S. Emori, V. Eyring, C. Forest, P. Gleckler, E. Guilyardi, C. Jakob, V. Kattsov, C. Reason, M. Rummukainen and contributing authors (2013): Evaluation of Climate Models (Chapter 9). In Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Stocker, T. F., D. Qin, G. -K. Plattner, M. Tignor, S. K. Allen, J. Boschung, A. Nauels, Y. Xia, V. Bex, and P.M. Midgley (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom, and New York, NY, USA. pp 741-866. DOI: 10.1017/CBO9781107415324.020. Accessible online

Kirtman, B., S. Power, A. J. Adedoyin, G. Boer, R. Bojariu, I. Camilloni, F. Doblas-Reyes, A. Fiore, M. Kimoto, G. Meehl, M. Prather, A. Sarr, C. Schar, R. Sutton, G. J. van Oldenborg, G. Vecchi, H.-J. Wang and contributing authors (2013): Near-term Climate Change: Projections and Predictability (Chapter 11). In Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Stocker, T. F., D. Qin, G. -K. Plattner, M. Tignor, S. K. Allen, J. Boschung, A. Nauels, Y. Xia, V. Bex, and P.M. Midgley (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom, and New York, NY, USA. pp 953-1028. DOI: 10.1017/CBO9781107415324.023. Accessible online

Rhein, M., S. Rintoul, S. Aoki, E. Campos, D. Chambers, R. Feely, S. Gulev, G. Johnson, S. Josey, A. Kostianoy, C. Mauritzen, D. Roemmich, L. Talley, F. Wang and contributing authors (2013): Observations: Ocean (Chapter 3). In Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Stocker, T. F., D. Qin, G. -K. Plattner, M. Tignor, S. K. Allen, J. Boschung, A. Nauels, Y. Xia, V. Bex, and P.M. Midgley (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom, and New York, NY, USA. pp 255-315. DOI: 10.1017/CBO9781107415324.010. Accessible online


Reports:

Mizielinski, Matthew S., Paul J. Durack, Karl E. Taylor, John Dunne, Daniel Ellis, Martin Juckes, Martina Stockhause and Briony Turner (2024) CMIP6Plus. CMIP-IPO Publication No. 005/2024, 11 pp.


CMIP Panel (2024) MIP Best Practise Guidance. CMIP-IPO Publication No. 01/2024, 2 pp. DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.10572155

Dunne, John, Paul J. Durack, Isla Simpson, Vaishali Naik, Brian O'Neill, Douglas Rao, Forrest Hoffman, Paul Ullrich, and Beth Dingley (2023) Co-creating the future CMIP (AGU23 Townhall, December 2023) presentation. CMIP-IPO Publication, 56 pp. DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.10407107

Dingley, Beth, Eleanor O'Rourke, Briony Turner, CMIP Panel Members, WGCM Infrastructure Panel Members, and CMIP7 Task Team Members (2023) CMIP Annual Report 2022-2023. CMIP-IPO Publication No. 02/2023, 32 pp. DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.8101810

O'Rourke, Eleanor, Beth Dingley, Paul J. Durack, Vaishali Naik, Thomas Aubry, Louise Chini, John Fasullo, Stephanie Fiedler, Bernd Funke, Heather Graven, Michaela Hegglin, Thibaut Lurton, Claire MacIntosh, Zebedee Nicholls, David Plummer, Keywan Riahi, Stephen Smith, Margreet van Marle, and Tilo Ziehn (2023b). CMIP drop in session reports: Forcings. CMIP-IPO Publication No. 01/2023, 23 pp. DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.8046147

O'Rourke, Eleanor, Beth Dingley, Paul J. Durack, and Vaishali Naik (2023a). CMIP Forcings drop-in session (June 2023) presentation. CMIP-IPO Publication, 41 pp. DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.8042163

Hickmon, Nicki, Charuleka Varadharajan, Forrest Hoffman, Haruko Wainwright, Scott Collis, and Contributing Authors (2022) Artificial Intelligence for Earth System Predictability (AI4ESP) (2021 Workshop Report). United States Department of Energy, Office of Science (SC), Biological and Environmental Research (BER), 413 pp. DOI: 10.2172/1888810

Taylor, Karl E., Martin Juckes, V. Balaji, Luca Cinquini, Sebastien Denvil, Paul J. Durack, Mark Elkington, Eric Guilyardi, Slava Kharin, Michael Lautenschlager, Bryan Lawrence, Denis Nadeau, and Martina Stockhause (2018) CMIP6 Model Output Metadata Requirements, Data Reference Syntax (DRS) and Controlled Vocabularies (CVs). In: Program for Climate Model Diagnosis and Intercomparison, Livermore, California, USA, 29 pp. DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.12768886

Collins, D., A. Sen Gupta, S. Power, K. Braganza, J. Brown, J. Brown, W. Cai, J. Church, R. Colman, A. Dowdy, P. Durack, D. Jones, M. Kuchinke, Y. Kuleshov, A. Lorrey, C. Lucas, S. McGee, K. McInnes, A. Moise, L. Muir, B. Murphy, S.J. Phipps, I. Smith, B. Tilbrook, and N. White (2011) Observed climate variability and trends, Climate Change in the Pacific: Scientific Assessment and New Research, Australian Bureau of Meteorology, and CSIRO, Australia, pp 51-77. Accessible online here and here

Cai, Wenju, Steve Crimp, Roger Jones, Kathy McInnes, Paul Durack, Bob Cechet, Janice Bathols, and Scott Wilkinson (2005) Climate change in Queensland under enhanced greenhouse conditions. Report, 2004-2005, CSIRO Marine and Atmospheric Research, Aspendale. 82 pp. Accessible online

Jones, Roger N. and Paul J. Durack (2005) Estimating the Impacts of Climate Change on Victoria's Runoff using a Hydrological Sensitivity Model. CSIRO Atmospheric Research, Aspendale. 50 pp. Accessible online

Jones, Roger N. and Paul J. Durack (2005) Melbourne Water climate change study technical report. CSIRO Atmospheric Research, Aspendale. 76 pp. Accessible online

Macadam, Ian, Kathleen L. McInnes, Paul J. Durack, and Roger N. Jones (2005) Climate change projections for SEDSIM modelling over North-East Australia. CSIRO Marine and Atmospheric Research, Melbourne, 10 pp. [restricted access]

Ryan, B. F., I. Smith, J. McGregor, S. Charles, B. Bates, R. Suppiah, I. G. Watterson, and P. J. Durack (2005) How will future climate change be affected by the greenhouse signature? In: Indian Ocean Climate Initiative Stage 2: Report of Phase 1 Activity. Ryan, B. F. and Hope, P. (Editors) Department of Environment, Hyatt Centre, 3 Plain Street, East Perth Western Australia. 42 pp. Accessible online

Whetton, Penny H., Kathleen L. McInnes, Roger N. Jones, Kevin J. Hennessy, Ramasamy Suppiah, Cher M. Page, Janice M. Bathols, and Paul J. Durack (2005) Australian climate change projections for impact assessment and policy application: a review. CSIRO Marine and Atmospheric Research Paper; 001 CSIRO Marine and Atmospheric Research, Melbourne, 34 pp. Accessible online


Software:

Durack, Paul J., Karl E. Taylor, Matthew Mizielinski, Charles Doutriaux, Denis Nadeau, and Martin Juckes (2024) CMIP6 Controlled Vocabularies (CVs) (6.2.58.73). Zenodo. DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.12197150


Theses:

Durack, Paul J. (2011) Ocean Salinity: A Climate Change Diagnostic? PhD Thesis, University of Tasmania (Tasmania, Australia), 163 pp. Accessible online

Durack, Paul J. (2002) The Effect of Predicted Climate Change on Western Australian Regional Oceanography. Hons Thesis, Murdoch University (Western Australia), 164 pp. Accessible online